Thursday, December 30, 2004

Funny things have been happening in North Korea for months.  First strange things began happening with the telephones.  Foreigners couldn't call out.

Then Kim Jong-Il went for a summit in China in September.  He was out of the country for several days.  He reentered Korea near the northern town of Ryonchon.  At some point near the time that his train was passing through the town, a massive explosion destroyed the town.  Speculation was rife that the attack was an assasination attempt.  They don't fool around in North Korea. 

Then strange things began happening in the last Stalininst enclave on earth.  Pictures of Kim Jong-Il began coming down.  Rumors that hundreds of North Korean general officers had defected to China swirled.  Reports indicated that there was unrest amongst the people.

North Korea responded.  

Quite contrary to what the U.S. claimed, not even a button of a general officer's uniform, to say nothing of more than a hundred of general officers, has ever been found across the border.
We do not know such a word as "defection".

Reports now filtering out of the country may indicate that the collapse of the Demorcratic People's Republic of Korea is around the corner.  Expect Bush to claim victory.

RW
Thursday, December 30, 2004 11:06:17 AM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Wednesday, December 29, 2004
 Tuesday, December 28, 2004

Phil Carter and I have a lot in common.  We both are newly minted attorneys and we both write for blogs, and we both agree that the current statistics on American troops killed in action aren't reflecting the intensity of combat faced by our soldiers.

Early this month, the Iron Mouth featured a short analysis of Iraq causalities compared to those of other wars.  Our look at the numbers attempted to factor in the advances in medical science which allow soldiers who would have died in an earlier era to survive being wounded and even return to the battlefield.  When the effect of medical advances was factored in, American casualty rates were comparable to those in other wars.

Today Phil Carter and Owen West did their own analysis of the effects of medical advances on the casualty numbers in Slate, and came up with a similar result.  Phil also went into more depth on his unrivaled blog, Intel-Dump.

The Iron Mouth's analysis showed that without the effect of advances in medical technology and science, the number of killed in action for the entire Iraq war up to the end of November, 2004 would have been around 5593 soldiers killed in action.  Phil's analysis came up with similar numbers: 2,975 for 2004 alone.  

Now Phil and I aren't alike in every way--he works at a much larger firm than I do, and he also writes for Slate on top of his duties as a first-year associate.  But it is reassuring to see a writer of his caliber applying a similar analysis to the problem of the Iraq casualty numbers and coming up with a similar result.

RW
Tuesday, December 28, 2004 11:54:26 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback

Turns out America's Top CEO's miss the Big Dog:

No wonder.  The current idiot can't do anything right.

RW
Tuesday, December 28, 2004 9:08:00 AM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback

Holiday reading. (from the ever-useful Metafilter.)

RW
Tuesday, December 28, 2004 8:50:51 AM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [1]  |  Trackback

The folks over at that paragon of reason Little Green Footballs are sure that Osama is dead

RW
Tuesday, December 28, 2004 8:48:18 AM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Thursday, December 23, 2004

Well it didn't take too long to answer my question.  It seems the AP is reporting that the suicide bomber was wearing an Iraqi National Guard uniform.  I guess that relief expressed in the moments after the attack that at least the bombing came from a distance and not infiltration has all but been put to bed and we enter a whole new phase in this long running trainwreck called Iraq.

RM
Thursday, December 23, 2004 11:08:07 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback

I have been looking at the write-ups on the bombing in Mosul and since no one has touched on it yet I thought I'd throw this question out there:

What if it turns out that the bomber was a member of the Iraqi National Guard?

I ask because early reports are so confusing that they inexplicably seemed to suggest that it was some random Iraqi who wandered onto base and somehow passed through several layers of security without raising suspicion.  Since this is a joint US-Iraqi military base and mess hall and we've heard untold numbers of reports on the unreliability of Iraqi National Guard and other security forces the probability it was ING rises significantly.  Now I'm perfectly willing to concede it might have just been a local who worked at the base but you'd think that someone reporting on this mess might actually raise the question.

RM
Thursday, December 23, 2004 7:17:14 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [1]  |  Trackback
 Tuesday, December 21, 2004
RW
Tuesday, December 21, 2004 7:29:28 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Monday, December 20, 2004

President Bush needs help in getting Sunnis to fully participate in elections scheduled in Iraq next month.  Who might help?  Saddam.  Turns out the former President of Iraq has a few things to say about the election:

"President Saddam Hussein urged the unity of his Iraqi people, regardless of their religious and ethnic creed, to confront U.S. plans to divide their country on sectarian grounds."

Saddam sent a plea to Iraq's men of religion from all persuasions to "shoulder a historic responsibility" in rallying people in Iraq's difficult times, the lawyers said.

This Philip K. Dickesque moment brought to you by President George W. Bush. 

RW
Monday, December 20, 2004 9:23:20 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [3]  |  Trackback
 Friday, December 17, 2004

Pilot Error Blamed in N.J. School Shooting.

Here's the key part:

the pilot never intended to strafe the Little Egg Harbor Township Intermediate School . . .

RW
Saturday, December 18, 2004 3:29:21 AM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback
RW
Friday, December 17, 2004 8:35:35 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  |  Trackback
 Wednesday, December 15, 2004

As longtime readers know, the Iron Mouth shuns linking to other sites' original content.  The few times we have, the points expressed on the linked blog have been so clear and so important that the Iron Mouth Editors felt compelled to link to the piece. 

Today, Josh Marshall has probably the most important piece you will read about Bush's reckless plan to privatize Social Security.  Josh lays out that the most important thing for Democrats to do is to stay completely united in their opposition to Social Security privatization:

One thing that Democrats must understand is that they cannot win this battle legislatively. At one level what I mean by that is simply the math we can all see. . .

There's no point in Democrats trying to improve legislation at the margins, because they won't be given any real opportunity to do so. The logic of the situation dictates coming up with an alternative plan not only to make the differences clear to voters now but to set the issue stage for the 2006 and 2008 elections.

There's important reasons why this will work, argues Josh:

Making the elimination of Social Security a strictly Republican gambit raises the political stakes dramatically. Many Republicans will be far more cautious without bipartisan cover. Democrats must deny them even the thinnest of fig leaves. Making it a strictly Republican affair will also provide valuable clarity in the coming election, rather than the muddled picture created by Democratic defections on the 2001 tax bill. . .

Still another important benefit is the boon it will give to Democratic morale and energy in opposition. . .

The question will be how to enforce discipline at the margins. And here Democrats should take a page from the Republican playbook in 1994 (on health care) and 1998 (on impeachment).

I think Democrats should consider pulling together the major funders of the party, the official committees, the major organizations, basically the entire infrastructure of the Democratic party and making clear to individual members that if they sign on to the president's plan to phase out Social Security, those various institutions and individuals won't fund their campaigns. Not in 2006, not ever.

Similar commitments can come from voters, activists and volunteers.

Josh is right on here.  Slowly, in conversations with friends and colleagues, it has become absolutely clear to this writer that the privatization of Social Security will be the most important issue of the second Bush term, if not his entire Presidency.  The quicker we realize this fact, the better off we will be. 

The Iron Mouth urges its readers to be informed and vocal on this critical issue.  It is the bedrock upon which our party is based on and the the most tangible expression of what we stand for--a fair shake for the hardworking everyday people of this country.  It is a safety net made by us to support us.  It is no government handout, but our own money saved to provide the kind of emergency income that every man, woman and child should be able to fall back on in times of distress.

RW
Wednesday, December 15, 2004 8:21:57 PM (GMT Standard Time, UTC+00:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [9]  |  Trackback